Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.129186 3.476864 3.853311 4.292179 4.791003 5.341760 5.997830
2025-04-13 2.487094 2.924315 3.430335 4.062739 4.836738 5.759306 6.951333
2025-04-20 2.182998 2.677146 3.278398 4.070872 5.098371 6.399955 8.196594
2025-04-27 1.996560 2.533827 3.214902 4.153189 5.430445 7.135142 9.628140
2025-05-04 1.851740 2.419303 3.164400 4.230877 5.745838 7.863699 11.126619
2025-05-11 1.723249 2.308815 3.101339 4.274524 6.005534 8.528707 12.606010
2025-05-18 1.611786 2.208398 3.038183 4.304429 6.238562 9.168640 14.119512
2025-05-25 1.472285 2.055078 2.884247 4.182253 6.223906 9.420619 15.034875
2025-06-01 1.371661 1.948763 2.787829 4.133976 6.312461 9.835403 16.263993
2025-06-08 1.288546 1.861219 2.710974 4.106315 6.426511 10.297057 17.627860
2025-06-15 1.255354 1.845623 2.740832 4.248174 6.829763 11.285975 20.082682
2025-06-22 1.188211 1.772521 2.674829 4.226174 6.949722 11.788681 21.684991
2025-06-29 1.120870 1.696111 2.600331 4.187432 7.043383 12.266979 23.340807
2025-07-06 1.023991 1.566599 2.431265 3.973424 6.802380 12.095754 23.641493
2025-07-13 0.979228 1.518544 2.392644 3.983005 6.971498 12.726325 25.741886
2025-07-20 0.951179 1.495882 2.394385 4.063548 7.280629 13.667333 28.684651
2025-07-27 0.924295 1.473202 2.394025 4.139326 7.586890 14.638289 31.868734
2025-08-03 0.893825 1.442349 2.376991 4.181875 7.830211 15.505324 34.961343
2025-08-10 0.863423 1.409648 2.354224 4.211021 8.048065 16.342646 38.136149
2025-08-17 0.813075 1.339154 2.259081 4.091948 7.943748 16.445582 39.411590
2025-08-24 0.776805 1.291611 2.202750 4.044893 7.987949 16.892904 41.698654
2025-08-31 0.745790 1.251807 2.158231 4.017931 8.072874 17.445619 44.387979
2025-09-07 0.738609 1.254727 2.193527 4.156197 8.538843 18.978922 50.251973